Aging Groups Say 2026 Social Security COLA Falls Short of What’s Needed for Seniors – Herb Weiss

by Herb Weiss, contributing writer, aging issues

On October 24, the Social Security Administration (SSA) announced a 2.8 percent Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA) increase for 75 million beneficiaries, including those receiving Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance (OASDI) and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) payments.

Specifically, nearly 71 million Social Security beneficiaries and OASDI recipients will see a 2.8 percent COLA starting in January 2026. In contrast, SSI recipients will begin seeing their increased payments on December 31, 2025. (Note:  Some individuals receive both Social Security benefits and SSI.)

According to the SSA, the average Social Security retirement benefit will increase by approximately $56 per month, bringing the average monthly check to $2,071, up from $2,015 in 2025. For married couples, the average increase will be $88, raising their monthly benefit from $3,120 in 2025 to $3,208 in 2026.

Over the past decade, the average COLA increase has been about 3.1 percent. (Note our calculations, below, which excluded the highs and lows due to COVID comes out with an average of 2.6%). For 2025, the COLA was 2.5 percent. However, in historical terms, this COLA ranks about average, coming in 29th out of the 51 COLAs announced since the government began tying COLAs to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in 1975, according to The Senior Citizens League (TSCL).

The Social Security Act mandates how the COLA is calculated, tying it to the increase in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W), as determined by the Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The SSA’s announcement, originally scheduled for October 15, was delayed by nine days. According to the federal agency and multiple news outlets, the delay was caused by furloughed employees at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which hindered the timely release of the September CPI-W report during the federal government shutdown.

Other annual adjustments, effective each January, are based on increases in average wages. For 2026, the maximum amount of earnings subject to Social Security taxes (the taxable maximum) is expected to rise to $184,500 from $176,100.

“Social Security is a promise kept, and the annual cost-of-living adjustment is one way we ensure benefits reflect today’s economic realities and continue to provide a foundation of security,” said Social Security Administration Commissioner Frank J. Bisignano in a statement announcing the 2026 COLA. “The cost-of-living adjustment is a vital part of how Social Security delivers on its mission.”

Notification of 2026 COLA Increase

The SSA will begin notifying beneficiaries about their new benefit amounts by mail in early December 2025. As in previous years, beneficiaries will receive a simplified, one-page COLA notice that uses plain language and provides details on their new benefit amount and any deductions.

Beneficiaries with a “my Social Security” account can view their COLA notices online, which is secure, easy, and faster than receiving a letter in the mail. Account holders can also set up text or email alerts for new messages, including COLA notifications. That information should be out in the first or second week of November.

To receive COLA notices online, individuals must create or sign in to their personal “my Social Security” account and opt out of paper notices by November 19, 2025. Create an account at www.ssa.gov/myaccount. In addition to COLA notices, account holders can also access their Social Security card replacement request, claim status, benefits information, and SSA-1099 forms.

Information about Medicare changes for 2026 will be available at www.medicare.gov. For Medicare enrollees, 2026 premium amounts will be available via the “my Social Security” Message Center starting in late November. Those who have not opted for online notices will receive their COLA notices by mail in December.

History of COLA increases over past 10 years

The chart, below, notes COLA increases by year, who the President was that year, and active COVID years.  The 4 hashtagged years of 2020-2023 indicate COVID years when extraordinary times impacted rate and benefit increases in several national and local programs such as healthcare, insurance, SNAP, etc.. Notably, 2026’s 2.8% planned increase takes us back 6 years to the exact increase percent in 2019, the year before active COVID.

Note: Typical 10-Year Average (Excluding Extremes): 2.6%
Removing the two lowest (0.0% and 0.3%) and two highest (5.9% and 8.7%) COLA adjustments gives a clearer picture of the typical Social Security increase over the past decade — 2.6 percent, reflecting steady but modest growth aside from the pandemic inflation surge.

Aging Advocacy Groups Call New COLA “Inadequate”

According to an AARP survey, conducted in Sept. 2025, even a COLA around 3% was viewed “insufficient to do the job,” says Bryan Miller, AARP Research. Only 22% of Americans age 50-plus agree that “a COLA of right around 3% for Social Security recipients is enough to keep up with rising prices,” while 77% disagree, stated, noting that this sentiment was consistent across political party affiliations, with large majorities of republicans (75%), Independents (82%) and Democrats (79%) expressing disagreement,” noted Miller in a web article published on Oct. 21, 2025.

“Nearly three-quarters (72%) of older Americans selected 5% or higher, with one quarter (25%) indicating that an 8% increase would be necessary to keep pace with rising costs. Responses to this question were consistent across political party affiliations,” adds Miller.

With the SSA’s announcement of the 2026 COLA three days later, aging advocacy groups expressed concern over the adequacy of the increase.

“Over the past year, many older Americans have been financially squeezed, and Social Security is a key to their financial stability,” said AARP Chief Executive Officer Myechia Minter-Jordan. “AARP has fought for Social Security for decades — including efforts to protect the COLA from cuts,” she said.

Nancy Altman, President of Social Security Works, echoed these concerns, noting that the COLA fails to fully address rising costs, especially healthcare. “This year, Medicare Part B premiums are projected to rise by about 11.6 percent, nearly double last year’s increase,” Altman said. “For the average beneficiary, this will consume nearly half of their COLA increase. For some, it will use up the entire COLA increase — all while the costs of other necessities, such as food and housing, continue to climb.”

Altman also pointed out that Social Security beneficiaries who are not yet eligible for Medicare and rely on the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces for insurance face even steeper challenges. “Next year, ACA premiums are expected to rise sharply, with those over 50 being hit hardest.”

Max Richtman, President and CEO of the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare (NCPSSM), agreed, saying, “The 2.8% COLA will be a disappointment for many seniors struggling to cover their bills. This is the second lowest COLA since 2021 and only a slight increase from this year’s rate.” He added that the COLA doesn’t keep pace with inflation, particularly in areas where prices are rising sharply, such as medical, housing, and grocery costs.

Richtman and NCPSSM have long advocated for a more accurate COLA formula, specifically the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly (CPI-E), which would better reflect the spending patterns of older adults, who tend to allocate more of their income to healthcare and housing. “The CPI-W, which is used to calculate the current COLA, does not accurately capture seniors’ spending habits,” Richtman said.

“The 2026 COLA is going to hurt seniors. Year after year, they warn that Social Security’s meager increases won’t be enough, and the U.S. Census Bureau estimates that about 10 percent of retirement-age Americans live in poverty. However, our research suggests that the number may be higher. It’s about time our elected representatives show up for seniors, or else seniors won’t show up for them at the voting booth,” states TSCL’s Executive Director Shannon Benton.

Richard Fiesta, Executive Director of the Alliance for Retired Americans calls for Congress to make strengthening and expanding social Security national priority. “If billionaires and the wealthiest 1 percent pay their fair share, we can boost benefits for everyone and guarantee the program’s solvency for future generations,” he suggests.

Fixing the COLA Formula

Social Security Works, TSCL, the NCPSSM, Alliance for Retired Americans and AARP are all calling on Congress to adopt the CPI-E to calculate COLAs. The CPI-E more accurately reflects the spending habits of seniors, particularly in categories like healthcare and housing, which are weighted more heavily in the CPI-E. Adopting this index would likely result in higher COLAs for Social Security beneficiaries.

NCPSSM’s Richtman supports several pieces of legislation that would adopt the CPI-E, including bills sponsored by Senators Bernie Sanders and Mazie Hirono, and Representatives John Larson, Val Hoyle, and Jill Tokuda. “This change is long overdue,” he said. “Instead of expecting seniors to scrape by, Congress should act now to help beneficiaries better cope with rising living costs.”

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To read more articles by Herb Weiss, go to: https://rinewstoday.com/herb-weiss/

Herb Weiss, LRI ’12, is a Pawtucket-based writer who has covered aging, healthcare, and medical issues for over 45 years. To purchase his books, Taking Charge: Collected Stories on Aging Boldly and its two sequels, visit herbweiss.com.