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Rhode Island economy looking up, caution still advised: URI economist, Leonard Lardaro
Rhode Island’s economy held relatively steady in December, says University of Rhode Island economist Leonard Lardaro, as he awaits revised labor market data that will provide a fuller picture of the state’s economic progress. The creator of the Current Conditions Index says existing data paints a somewhat disappointing picture with a December CCI of 58.
Key indicators showing improvement include Government Employment, Private Service-Producing Employment, Total Manufacturing Hours, Manufacturing Wage and Labor Force participation–several of which may be impacted by revised federal data.
While the CCI remains in an expansion value, Lardaro’s concern lies in the weak improvement of Retail Sales –which was up only .02 percent – and the looming end of federal stimulus money, which he expects will make it more difficult to balance the state budget and potentially lead to an economic slowdown.
The URI Professor of Economics is the creator and author of the Current Conditions Index. Lardaro said he will be blogging over the next few weeks about the data – with additional information and historical data available online: http://www.llardaro.com/current.htm.
The Current Conditions Index, created by Lardaro, measures the strength of the present economic climate in Rhode Island by following the behavior of 12 indicators.
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